Wednesday, February 1, 2017

The Journey Begins

Not that our lives aren't already filled with the wackyness of political chaos and uncertainty brought about by new abnormal .. let me pile on a bit more wacky and begin the conversation about some soon to be realized chaos and wacky.
Policies and decisions that come out of the new abnormal now will have big impacts on the somewhat more distant future. Specifically in the future of work for humans.
We are on the cheap technology cusp of rapidly replacing many jobs.  There is more and more evidence - but little planning - that the impact may be fast and big.  We all see cute little stories about how a robot or algorithm or automated process is absorbing a job or function that up to now only a human could do.  That scares me - not sure there are a lot of others concerned about it ..yet.
The common response - most often offered by those who will replace humans with machines - is " as has happened in the past, we'll probably create more jobs than we lose."
Sure..  Humans, in the past, were always were smarter or more dexterous requiring some form of machine operation interaction ..like a finger on the kill switch - or using the fix-it tool kit - or adapting to the unforseen.
That's all changing as the machine is developing capacity to learn, operate, fix itself and react to new scenarios with much less intervention.. for a short time ... then it will need none.
Not all jobs will go fast.  Right now, by some accounts, maybe half our jobs could be automated if the price point and cost effective retooling can happen. Some of that may take a few years but as time goes by - we exponentially enhance our ability to make it happen faster.
So - we have a problem looming that right now is masked by the noise, the chaos, the political posturing... as the tech world is moving faster than ever to build and sell the machines that that will eat human jobs and the last gen economy.
Here's the kick off to the journey.
Right here -in this blog Next Gen Economy -  our bias is focused on the inevitable elimination of the need for humans to work.  Subsequently, humans will not have wages and will not be contributors in the economy as it is now designed.  New economic designs must be explored taking into account the probability that msot things will be done cheaper better faster etc by machines.
This kind of monster next gen economic shift may take way longer than the machine takeover .. we don't have much time.  - We need to research - learn - experiment - and move for changes that can work. There are many other nations around the glob at work on this than the USA. We need to catch up.
I have studied a bit on robots, AI, technological unemployment, and possibilities for the next generation economy - but there is not a hell of a lot of info and data...yet.. I'm no expert but there's not a lot of company in this club....yet..
This blog is intended to be a source of info - to add some info and answers and making our complex and chaotic world even a bit more crazy and scary until we find the best ways to adjust and act.
The first leg on this physical journey in the quest for next gen economy ideas is Manchester England.
The World Basic Income (WBI-UK) group there is holding the world's first conference dedicated to exploring a global basic income approach.
More news to come...



 

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